Control of the House to be Decided in December
I know what you're thinking -- the election is in NOVEMBER, so what are you talking about?
It's actually not me, it's Larry Sabato, who admits a "fondness for using our predictions to forecast freakish political outcomes."
He gives a good chance of election night Nov. 7 producing a 217-217 tie in the House. Then the control of the House comes down to "one additional Republican-held seat in an intriguing special circumstance."
And where would that be?
"The answer: the Lone Star State. As a result of a June Supreme Court ruling that the Hispanic majority in southwest Texas's 23rd District had been unconstitutionally diluted in the GOP-led mid-decade redistricting leading up to 2004, the district's lines were substantially altered earlier this month--after this year's primary elections--to include more Hispanic voters. Lower courts held that the line-changing would necessitate a Louisiana-style free-for-all open primary on November 7th, to be followed by a December runoff between the two top vote-getters."
And guess who is running again? Ciro Rodriguez! The fellow who lost to Henry Cuellar. This time he's baaaaaack, but now running against incumbent GOP Rep. Henry Bonilla.
Sabato gives the edge in that race to Bonilla.
That would be an election night sight to behold, wouldn't it?
