August 19, 2008

Poll Results: Alaska Primary

To: Patrick Toomey

From: McLaughlin & Associates

Date: August 19, 2008

Re: Survey Results

Methodology: This survey of 300 likely Republican primary election voters in Alaska was conducted on August 18th 2008 and correlates with a similar poll conducted August 7th, 2008. All interviews were conducted via telephone by professional interviewers. Interview selection was random within predetermined election units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a statewide Republican primary election. The survey of 300 likely Republican primary election voters has an accuracy of ± 5.7% at the 95% confidence interval.

Republican Primary Election Summary:

As they move into the final week before the Republican Primary for United States Congress, it has become a two way race between Don Young and Sean Parnell. Sean Parnell who was trailing Don Young in the last poll 42.7% to 39.3% has moved ahead of Don Young in the ballot, leading 44.3% to 42.0%. In fact, Parnell's lead is higher among the 3 in 4 voters who have a firm opinion of both candidates, 47.8% to 39.8%. As the few remaining undecided voters make up their minds in the final days, it appears Sean Parnell will win the primary this coming Tuesday.

If the Republican primary election for US Congress were held today, for whom would you vote among the following individuals?

IF UNDECIDED, ASK:

If you had to choose today, which candidate are you leaning towards?


8/7/08
8/18/08
Heard Of Both
Opinion Both
Combo Don Young
42.7%
42.0%
42.3%
39.9%
Combo Sean Parnell
39.3%
44.3%
44.7&
47.8%
Combo Gabrielle LeDoux
10.3%
8.3%
7.6%
7.9%
Firm Undecided
7.7%
5.3%
5.5%
4.4%

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