CFG PAC Updates - March 22nd, 2017
To: Interested Parties
From: Chip Englander
Re: Georgia – 06 Special Election
Date: March 22, 2017
On Monday Clout Research released a polling memo on the Georgia – 06 race that largely parallels internal data we have seen regarding this race. With less than a month until the primary, six key points stick out:
- Democrat Jon Ossof vs. Everyone Else
Right now, Ossof has consolidated the support of Democrat voters and as a result, enjoys a sizable gap between himself and the rest of the candidates. He is clearly benefiting from a crowded and fractured field of Republicans. His current lead should provide him cold comfort though, because his potential for growth in a runoff will be limited if the right Republican emerges from the primary.
- Karen Handel is Surprisingly Weak
Handel currently sits in second place, but her lead over Bob Gray is within the margin of error and her image is already extremely polarized, with her unfavorable numbers exceeding her favorables. That’s an extremely weak position for someone with her name identification numbers, but not all that surprising in this political environment. A career politician and perennial candidate with a penchant for losing is the wrong person for Republicans to advance to the runoff.
- Bob Gray is the Clear Alternative
Bob Gray is best positioned to break out from the rest of the field and enter the runoff against Ossof as a candidate who can win. Among all voters, Gray has the best image ratio of any Republican in the race with favorables outpacing unfavorables by nearly two-to-one. And among conservatives and Republicans Bob Gray is all upside with those voters holding nearly zero unfavorable opinions.
His positions on term limits, cutting government spending and plans for job growth along with his background as a business leader are all winners.
- Resources: Best Impact
Georgia – 06 sits in the Atlanta media market, making broadcast buys expensive and inefficient for SuperPACs unlike campaigns who receive a lower candidate rate. The Club for Growth will spend its resources on (1) digital (2) direct mail and (3) cable because it is the most efficient and best use of resources for this particular race.
- Voter Contact: Messaging
The Club for Growth will focus its efforts on educating voters about Karen Handel’s fiscally irresponsible record. Voters already have a lukewarm impression of her. Despite sky high name ID from near-perennial losing candidacies she barely polls ahead of first-time candidate Bob Gray.
- Bob Gray Best Candidate to Defeat Ossof
Karen Handel has higher unfavorable ratings than favorable. Despite universal name ID she already trails first-time candidate Ossof by approximately 20% depending on the poll you look at. Bob Gray has the best image ratio of all Republicans, and once in the runoff, is in the strongest position to keep the Tom Price seat Republican.
Doug Sachtleben - March 21st, 2017
Anti-RyanCare TV and digital ads to run in the districts of ten House Republicans
Washington, DC – Club for Growth president David McIntosh released the following statement about a new Club for Growth TV and digital ad campaign that urges members of Congress to oppose RyanCare:
“The RyanCare bill fails to keep President Trump’s promises of interstate competition and health insurance deregulation,” said Club for Growth president David McIntosh. “Republicans promised a bill that would stop Obamacare’s taxes and mandates, and replace them with free-market reforms that will increase health insurance competition and drive down costs. RyanCare fails on those counts and that’s why the Club is letting millions of constituents know that their Representative should reject RyanCare.”
The Club for Growth is encouraged by changes in the bill that have been proposed by the Trump Administration, but House leadership has not gone far enough with those changes.
A sample of the Club’s new ad can be seen here and will run on TV and digital platforms March 20-22, with a total ad buy of at least $500,000. It will run in the districts of the following House members:
- Leonard Lance (NJ-7)
- Tom MacArthur (NJ-3)
*John Katko (NY-24)
- Brian Fitzpatrick (PA-8)
- Rob Wittman (VA-1)
*Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27)
- Peter King (NY-2)
- Charlie Dent (PA-15)
- Darrell Issa (CA-49)
- Don Bacon (NE-2)
Doug Sachtleben - March 16th, 2017
“It makes no sense for Speaker Ryan and Chairman Diane Black to force GOP lawmakers to walk the plank on a bill that they’ve already admitted needs to be changed.”
Washington, DC – Club for Growth president David McIntosh released the following statement after Representatives Mark Sanford (SC-01), Dave Brat (VA-07), and Gary Palmer (AL-06) voted against RyanCare in the House Budget Committee:
“It makes no sense for Speaker Ryan and Chairman Diane Black to force GOP lawmakers to walk the plank and vote for a bad bill that they’ve already admitted needs to be changed,” said Club for Growth president David McIntosh. “Today’s vote shows why we need Congressmen Sanford, Brat, and Palmer on the Budget Committee. Their principled courage will be vital as the committee votes to pass President Trump’s fiscally-conservative spending cuts.”
The Club for Growth opposes RyanCare because it fails to fully and immediately repeal Obamacare and leaves out free-market reforms. RyanCare will put a Republican seal of approval on Obamacare and will drive up premium prices, pushing health care reform in exactly the opposite direction from what the GOP campaigned on.
Instead of pushing it through committees, Speaker Ryan should give the House a vote on the 2015 Obamacare repeal bill, and incorporate free-market reforms like interstate competition that will actually give consumers choice and lower prices.
Doug Sachtleben - March 16th, 2017
“This blueprint begins the much-needed work of making major cuts in agencies like the EPA, and ending the waste of taxpayer dollars that are being poured into things like federally-funded TV and radio.”
Washington, DC – Club for Growth president David McIntosh released the following statement in response to the Trump Administration’s release of its budget blueprint:
“That sound you hear from Washington, DC this morning is the weeping and gnashing of teeth from bureaucrats and politicians who have built the federal government into an industry on the backs of taxpayers,” said Club for Growth president David McIntosh. “The Trump Administration’s budget blueprint begins the much-needed work of making major cuts in agencies like the EPA, and ending the waste of taxpayer dollars that are being poured into things like federally-funded TV and radio. President Trump and OBM Director Mick Mulvaney are showing the political will to take the axe to many bloated and unnecessary programs. We hope Congress will follow suit, and that this is just the start of an ongoing effort to truly cut the size and scope of the federal government.”
Doug Sachtleben - March 14th, 2017
“President Trump campaigned on interstate competition, and should continue to pressure House leadership to include it in the Republican bill.”
Washington, DC – Club for Growth president David McIntosh released the following statement in response to published reports that the White House is urging conservative-backed changes to the House Obamacare alternative:
“Health care reform must fully repeal Obamacare and do what Republicans campaigned on: open up competition and choice to drive down costs. Ryancare fails on these counts, and is actually projected to cause an immediate spike in premiums, while taking nearly a decade to achieve meager reductions,” said Club for Growth president David McIntosh. “President Trump campaigned on interstate competition, and should continue to pressure House leadership to include it in the Republican bill. It will make insurance more affordable so that more people can buy coverage, and that will reduce the demand for Medicaid and subsidies.”
The Club for Growth is the nation’s leading group promoting economic freedom through legislative involvement, issue advocacy, research, and education.