CFG PAC Updates - March 22nd, 2017
To: Interested Parties
From: Chip Englander
Re: Georgia – 06 Special Election
Date: March 22, 2017
On Monday Clout Research released a polling memo on the Georgia – 06 race that largely parallels internal data we have seen regarding this race. With less than a month until the primary, six key points stick out:
- Democrat Jon Ossof vs. Everyone Else
Right now, Ossof has consolidated the support of Democrat voters and as a result, enjoys a sizable gap between himself and the rest of the candidates. He is clearly benefiting from a crowded and fractured field of Republicans. His current lead should provide him cold comfort though, because his potential for growth in a runoff will be limited if the right Republican emerges from the primary.
- Karen Handel is Surprisingly Weak
Handel currently sits in second place, but her lead over Bob Gray is within the margin of error and her image is already extremely polarized, with her unfavorable numbers exceeding her favorables. That’s an extremely weak position for someone with her name identification numbers, but not all that surprising in this political environment. A career politician and perennial candidate with a penchant for losing is the wrong person for Republicans to advance to the runoff.
- Bob Gray is the Clear Alternative
Bob Gray is best positioned to break out from the rest of the field and enter the runoff against Ossof as a candidate who can win. Among all voters, Gray has the best image ratio of any Republican in the race with favorables outpacing unfavorables by nearly two-to-one. And among conservatives and Republicans Bob Gray is all upside with those voters holding nearly zero unfavorable opinions.
His positions on term limits, cutting government spending and plans for job growth along with his background as a business leader are all winners.
- Resources: Best Impact
Georgia – 06 sits in the Atlanta media market, making broadcast buys expensive and inefficient for SuperPACs unlike campaigns who receive a lower candidate rate. The Club for Growth will spend its resources on (1) digital (2) direct mail and (3) cable because it is the most efficient and best use of resources for this particular race.
- Voter Contact: Messaging
The Club for Growth will focus its efforts on educating voters about Karen Handel’s fiscally irresponsible record. Voters already have a lukewarm impression of her. Despite sky high name ID from near-perennial losing candidacies she barely polls ahead of first-time candidate Bob Gray.
- Bob Gray Best Candidate to Defeat Ossof
Karen Handel has higher unfavorable ratings than favorable. Despite universal name ID she already trails first-time candidate Ossof by approximately 20% depending on the poll you look at. Bob Gray has the best image ratio of all Republicans, and once in the runoff, is in the strongest position to keep the Tom Price seat Republican.
Madeline Rainwater - November 15th, 2016
As is often the case, top-down government solutions often spawn problems for the very people they are attempting to help. The most recent example of this can be found in policies that could instigate a trade war with China.
In an attempt to restore manufacturing jobs in the United States, it’s been suggested that America set up more trade barriers with China, but these policies could prove economically devastating, particularly for blue-collar workers.
The Wall Street Journal runs through some of the disastrous effects in this video
Madeline Rainwater - October 25th, 2016
The name “Affordable Care Act” is becoming a misnomer more and more. In more than 20 states, people will likely be seeing a very steep increase in premiums, and in one instance, The Kaiser Family Foundation released data that found the cost of a benchmark plan will more than double for an average 40-year-old living in Phoenix, Arizona.
Time and time again, Obamacare has proven to be an untenable policy. It’s long overdue for a repeal!
More on this story here.
Madeline Rainwater - September 29th, 2016
Good afternoon, snackers! Today’s menu includes a legislative update and a word from our President:
- Club for Growth President David McIntosh interviewed regarding renewed focus on downballot races, CNN
- The Club for Growth issued a key vote alert on the stopgap spending bill that passed this week, which means the Club will be incorporating lawmakers’ votes on the measure when assessing their score for next year’s annual scorecard. The Hill
Stacy French - September 07th, 2016
The Republican Primary in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District was held on August 30. Nearly 86,000 votes were cast and Club PAC-endorsed candidate Andy Biggs holds a 9-vote lead over Christine Jones. That margin will trigger an automatic recount once the election is certified. All indications from recent recounts in Arizona show that the electoral system there is extremely accurate and the final tally isn’t likely to change.
9-12-16 UPDATE – Biggs’ lead widens to 16 votes